[{"data":1,"prerenderedAt":-1},["ShallowReactive",2],{"article-demis-hassabis-says-agi-is-years-away-zh":3,"article-related-demis-hassabis-says-agi-is-years-away-zh":30,"series-industry-d3eaf934-5022-45c0-9767-19ac8ba543dc":79},{"id":4,"slug":5,"title":6,"content":7,"summary":8,"source":9,"source_url":10,"author":11,"image_url":12,"cover_image":12,"category":13,"language":14,"translated_content":11,"related_article_id":15,"keywords":16,"key_takeaways":22,"views":26,"created_at":27,"published_at":28,"topic_cluster_id":29},"d3eaf934-5022-45c0-9767-19ac8ba543dc","demis-hassabis-says-agi-is-years-away-zh","Hassabis：AGI 只剩幾年準備期","\u003Cp data-speakable=\"summary\">\u003Ca href=\"\u002Ftag\u002Fgoogle-deepmind\">Google DeepMind\u003C\u002Fa> 執行長 Demis Hassabis 在 Google I\u002FO 表示，社會只剩幾年時間為 AGI 做準備。\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp>Google DeepMind 執行長 \u003Ca href=\"https:\u002F\u002Fdeepmind.google\u002F\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Demis Hassabis\u003C\u002Fa> 上週在 \u003Ca href=\"https:\u002F\u002Fio.google\u002F\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Google I\u002FO\u003C\u002Fa> 談到 AGI 時，直接把時間壓到「幾年內」。他還說，人類正站在「奇點的山麓」，語氣比許多 AI 領袖更急。\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp>這次發言不是在學術場合，而是 \u003Ca href=\"\u002Ftag\u002Fgoogle\">Google\u003C\u002Fa> 自家開發者大會。換句話說，這是對工程團隊、產品線和企業客戶同步發出的訊號，重點不只是研究，而是落地節奏。\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Ctable>\u003Cthead>\u003Ctr>\u003Cth>項目\u003C\u002Fth>\u003Cth>數值\u003C\u002Fth>\u003C\u002Ftr>\u003C\u002Fthead>\u003Ctbody>\u003Ctr>\u003Ctd>發言者\u003C\u002Ftd>\u003Ctd>Demis Hassabis\u003C\u002Ftd>\u003C\u002Ftr>\u003Ctr>\u003Ctd>場合\u003C\u002Ftd>\u003Ctd>Google I\u002FO\u003C\u002Ftd>\u003C\u002Ftr>\u003Ctr>\u003Ctd>時間窗口\u003C\u002Ftd>\u003Ctd>幾年內\u003C\u002Ftd>\u003C\u002Ftr>\u003Ctr>\u003Ctd>關鍵措辭\u003C\u002Ftd>\u003Ctd>“foothills of the singularity”\u003C\u002Ftd>\u003C\u002Ftr>\u003C\u002Ftbody>\u003C\u002Ftable>\u003Ch2>發生了什麼\u003C\u002Fh2>\u003Cp>Hassabis 沒有給出 AGI 的正式到達日期，但他的意思很清楚：現在不是把 AGI 當成遙遠概念，而是當成近程規劃題。這種說法把焦點從「會不會來」移到「\u003Ca href=\"\u002Fnews\u002Fhow-to-fine-tune-llms-with-sft-lora-and-rlhf-zh\">怎麼\u003C\u002Fa>準備」。\u003C\u002Fp>\n\u003Cfigure class=\"my-6\">\u003Cimg src=\"https:\u002F\u002Fxxdpdyhzhpamafnrdkyq.supabase.co\u002Fstorage\u002Fv1\u002Fobject\u002Fpublic\u002Fcovers\u002Finline-1780149776537-g9ck.png\" alt=\"Hassabis：AGI 只剩幾年準備期\" class=\"rounded-xl w-full\" loading=\"lazy\" \u002F>\u003C\u002Ffigure>\n\u003Cp>他在 Google 的開發者舞台上講這件事，也讓訊號更直接。台下聽眾不是純研究人員，而是會把 AI 接進搜尋、雲端、辦公工具和手機產品的工程師，這代表產品設計已經要開始對齊更高風險的系統假設。\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp>如果把他的說法拆開看，重點有三個：一是 AGI 不是遠景；二是安全與治理要提前；三是平台公司會先感受到壓力。這也解釋了為\u003Ca href=\"\u002Fnews\u002Fwhy-dtcc-stellar-move-matters-tokenized-markets-zh\">什麼\u003C\u002Fa>這番話在開發者圈特別敏感。\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cul>\u003Cli>發言者：Google DeepMind 執行長 Demis Hassabis\u003C\u002Fli>\u003Cli>場景：Google I\u002FO 開發者大會\u003C\u002Fli>\u003Cli>判斷：人類已進入「奇點的山麓」\u003C\u002Fli>\u003Cli>提醒：社會只剩幾年做準備\u003C\u002Fli>\u003C\u002Ful>\u003Cp>和不少 AI 公司常見的保守口徑相比，Hassabis 的說法更像風險\u003Ca href=\"\u002Fnews\u002Fwhy-fine-tuning-still-beats-prompt-only-ai-zh\">提示\u003C\u002Fa>，而不是技術宣傳。這種差異很重要，因為它會影響外界如何解讀 Google 對模型能力、部署速度和安全門檻的內部預期。\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Ch2>為什麼重要\u003C\u002Fh2>\u003Cp>對開發者來說，這類表態會直接影響工作優先級。若 AGI 被視為短期規劃，評測框架、紅隊測試、權限控管、資料隔離和故障回滾機制，都會比以往更早被拉進排程。\u003C\u002Fp>\n\u003Cfigure class=\"my-6\">\u003Cimg src=\"https:\u002F\u002Fxxdpdyhzhpamafnrdkyq.supabase.co\u002Fstorage\u002Fv1\u002Fobject\u002Fpublic\u002Fcovers\u002Finline-1780149770957-js7v.png\" alt=\"Hassabis：AGI 只剩幾年準備期\" class=\"rounded-xl w-full\" loading=\"lazy\" \u002F>\u003C\u002Ffigure>\n\u003Cp>對產品團隊來說，AI 不再只是加一個功能按鈕，而是可能改變整個產品架構。尤其是有狀態代理、長鏈任務、工具調用和多模態輸入的應用，會更依賴可觀測性與可審計性，否則一旦模型行為變複雜，除錯成本會快速上升。\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp>對產業面而言，Hassabis 的說法也在加速一場標準競賽。當前 frontier labs 都在比模型能力，但真正的分水嶺可能是誰先把安全、部署和企業採用的流程做穩，因為那才決定誰能把能力轉成收入。\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp>這也會影響買方心態。企業客戶若相信 AGI 可能比預期更近，採購時就不只看功能清單，還會看\u003Ca href=\"\u002Ftag\u002F資料治理\">資料治理\u003C\u002Fa>、法遵、模型更新頻率，以及供應商能否清楚說明失敗模式。\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp>更現實的問題是，若領先公司都開始用「幾年」來描述 AGI，外界對 AI 轉型的容忍期就會縮短。換句話說，現在比的不是誰講得最大聲，而是誰能在更短時間內把風險和能力一起交代清楚。\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp>Hassabis 的訊息很直接：AGI 是否到來還有爭議，但準備工作不能再拖。對 Google、對開發者、對整個市場來說，真正的壓力已經從研究室移到產品線。\u003C\u002Fp>","Google DeepMind 執行長 Hassabis 在 Google I\u002FO 表示，社會只剩幾年時間為 AGI 做準備，並把現況形容為「奇點的山麓」。","www.axios.com","https:\u002F\u002Fwww.axios.com\u002F2026\u002F05\u002F26\u002Fdeepmind-ceo-demis-hassabis",null,"https:\u002F\u002Fxxdpdyhzhpamafnrdkyq.supabase.co\u002Fstorage\u002Fv1\u002Fobject\u002Fpublic\u002Fcovers\u002Finline-1780149776537-g9ck.png","industry","zh","03e122db-6a30-45b0-83b8-301ad651ab62",[17,18,19,20,21],"Demis Hassabis","Google DeepMind","AGI","Google I\u002FO","AI safety",[23,24,25],"Hassabis 把 AGI 的準備窗口壓到幾年內。","Google I\u002FO 讓這個訊號直接傳到開發者與產品團隊。","對業界來說，重點已從是否到來轉向如何提前部署安全與治理。",5,"2026-05-30T14:02:24.102179+00:00","2026-05-30T14:02:24.091+00:00","934dbacd-9bb0-45c6-8e73-084b26489646",{"tags":31,"relatedLang":38,"relatedPosts":42},[32,34,36],{"name":19,"slug":33},"agi",{"name":21,"slug":35},"ai-safety",{"name":18,"slug":37},"google-deepmind",{"id":15,"slug":39,"title":40,"language":41},"demis-hassabis-says-agi-is-years-away-en","Demis Hassabis says AGI is years away","en",[43,49,55,61,67,73],{"id":44,"slug":45,"title":46,"cover_image":47,"image_url":47,"created_at":48,"category":13},"0cf56d85-887b-4fb1-8589-046da6513d26","openai-oracle-universal-credits-enterprise-buying-zh","OpenAI 進 Oracle 企業採購圈","https:\u002F\u002Fxxdpdyhzhpamafnrdkyq.supabase.co\u002Fstorage\u002Fv1\u002Fobject\u002Fpublic\u002Fcovers\u002Finline-1781696892976-sx90.png","2026-06-17T11:47:35.092555+00:00",{"id":50,"slug":51,"title":52,"cover_image":53,"image_url":53,"created_at":54,"category":13},"dd3d240a-0f53-49a4-90a5-cac17171f3fd","managed-chatgpt-access-policy-layers-zh","4 層規範決定企業版 ChatGPT 可怎麼用","https:\u002F\u002Fxxdpdyhzhpamafnrdkyq.supabase.co\u002Fstorage\u002Fv1\u002Fobject\u002Fpublic\u002Fcovers\u002Finline-1781695973066-pbtw.png","2026-06-17T11:32:17.633521+00:00",{"id":56,"slug":57,"title":58,"cover_image":59,"image_url":59,"created_at":60,"category":13},"c826a181-b373-4a9e-a494-1f8f4bc86c3c","openai-service-terms-app-risk-users-zh","OpenAI 服務條款把第三方 App 風險留給使用者","https:\u002F\u002Fxxdpdyhzhpamafnrdkyq.supabase.co\u002Fstorage\u002Fv1\u002Fobject\u002Fpublic\u002Fcovers\u002Finline-1781695063951-v71m.png","2026-06-17T11:17:21.223004+00:00",{"id":62,"slug":63,"title":64,"cover_image":65,"image_url":65,"created_at":66,"category":13},"7b6bec1f-4f42-4b60-a72d-027bf95a36e7","anthropic-fable-shutdown-own-your-models-zh","Fable 停用逼你把模型收回來","https:\u002F\u002Fxxdpdyhzhpamafnrdkyq.supabase.co\u002Fstorage\u002Fv1\u002Fobject\u002Fpublic\u002Fcovers\u002Finline-1781687002361-q7fl.png","2026-06-17T09:02:52.16704+00:00",{"id":68,"slug":69,"title":70,"cover_image":71,"image_url":71,"created_at":72,"category":13},"1787c1f6-5b34-4ddc-9eb9-4ec10e898711","dara-think-tanks-ai-trust-zh","DARA把智庫 AI 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